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Flavio Bolsonaro Leads Lula 47% to 46% in Latest Poll Ahead of Brazil's October 25 Runoff

Friday, October 23, 2026 · World News · GSM News

BRASILIA — Flavio Bolsonaro leads President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva by 47% to 46% ahead of Brazil's presidential runoff on October 25, according to a Datafolha poll released on October 22 and reported by Reuters. The one-point gap is well within the survey's margin of error.

The poll was conducted from October 20 to 22 among 2,154 voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus two percentage points, leaving the two candidates statistically tied. Since the first round, both campaigns have focused on the economy, security and cost-of-living issues in the final stretch.

Brazil uses a two-round system: if no candidate wins more than half the vote in the first round, the top two advance to a runoff. The October 25 vote will decide the leadership of South America's largest economy for the next four years.

Source: GSM · USA (original Chinese edition)

Photo: 巴西利亚国民议会大厦 / National Congress of Brazil, Brasília。图片:© Cayambe / CC BY-SA 3.0,Wikimedia Commons

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