France 2027 Presidential Poll: Le Pen Leads the First Round at 34%-36%, Mélenchon Second at 18%-19%
PARIS — Far-right National Rally leader Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélenchon of the far-left France Unbowed (LFI) have consolidated their lead in voting intentions for France's 2027 presidential election, according to a poll released on Monday, Reuters reported on November 9, as political polarization deepens.
The Toluna Harris Interactive survey, conducted for television channel M6 and radio station RTL among 2,101 registered voters on November 3-5, put Le Pen ahead in the first round with between 34% and 36% of voting intentions, depending on the scenarios tested. A similar poll last month had her at 35% to 37%.
Mélenchon placed second in all five scenarios, at 18% or 19%, which would put him in the runoff for the first time. He ran for president in 2012, 2017 and 2022 without ever reaching the second round. France Unbowed published its presidential programme on Friday, pledging to leave NATO and nationalize major defence companies.
Centrist candidates trailed well behind: former prime minister Édouard Philippe stood at 11% to 14%, the social democrat Raphaël Glucksmann at 11% to 13%, and the conservative David Lisnard at about 9%.
In runoff scenarios, Le Pen led every potential opponent: 68% to 32% against Mélenchon, 60% against Glucksmann and 58% against Philippe.
The presidential election is due in spring 2027. President Emmanuel Macron's second and final five-year term is coming to an end. The poll also found that 58% of respondents named purchasing power as their top concern, with security second at 26%. Le Pen reached the runoff in both 2017 and 2022 and lost to Macron each time.
Related: Follow-Up: Le Pen Formally Launches Presidential Campaign, Leading Polls at 32%-33.5%
(Source: Reuters)
Source: Reuters
Published by GSM · USA (original Chinese edition)
Photo: 法国国民联盟领导人勒庞2026年3月23日摄（资料图）。图：Elekes Andor，CC BY 4.0，经维基共享资源，本站档案图复用 / Marine Le Pen on March 23, 2026 (file photo). Photo by Elekes Andor, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons, GSM archive reuse
