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Final TPOR Poll: James Talarico Leads Ken Paxton 51% to 47% in Texas Senate Race, Greg Abbott Up 3 in Governor's Race

Friday, October 23, 2026 · City · GSM News

AUSTIN, Texas — Austin, Travis County, is the Texas state capital. The nonpartisan Texas Public Opinion Research (TPOR) released its third and final poll before the November 3 midterm elections on Friday, October 23. The survey, conducted October 15 to 18, sampled 969 likely Texas voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percentage points.

In the nationally watched U.S. Senate race, Democratic candidate James Talarico leads Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton 51% to 47%, with Libertarian Ted Brown at 2%. Talarico leads among independent voters 66% to 28%, Black voters 87% to 11%, Latino voters 60% to 39%, and women 54% to 47%. Paxton leads among white voters 60% to 38%, men 50% to 47%, and voters without a college degree 50% to 47%, and is ahead among voters over 55.

The same poll found Republican Governor Greg Abbott, seeking a fourth term, leading Democratic challenger Gina Hinojosa 51% to 48% in the governor's race.

This TPOR survey is a separate poll from the Fox News poll, reported by GSM on October 22, that showed the Senate race tied at 49% to 49%. Early voting in Texas runs through October 30, with Election Day on November 3.

Source: GSM·America

Source: GSM · USA (original Chinese edition)

Photo: 图:德克萨斯州议会大厦(位于奥斯汀)。摄影:LoneStarMike,CC BY 3.0,经 Wikimedia Commons。 / Photo: the Texas State Capitol in Austin, by LoneStarMike, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons.

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