OCTA's First 2028 Tandem Poll in the Philippines: Robredo-Tulfo Leads Duterte-Padilla 43% to 39%
Philippine pollster OCTA Research released its first 2028 tandem survey on November 11, showing former vice president Leni Robredo paired with Senator Raffy Tulfo at 43 percent, ahead of Davao City Mayor Sebastian Duterte paired with Senator Robin Padilla at 39 percent, with 18 percent undecided.
The survey was conducted face to face among 1,200 adults nationwide from September 28 to October 4, with a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points. The four-point gap between the two pairings is too small, under OCTA's own error margins, to call a winner. In the same survey's senatorial preference results, Tulfo scored 47 percent and Padilla 45 percent, followed by Alan Peter Cayetano at 44 percent and Vico Sotto at 42 percent, while Sebastian Duterte registered 36 percent, tied with Grace Poe for fifth and sixth. Sebastian Duterte, known in the family as Baste, is a son of former president Rodrigo Duterte and a brother of Vice President Sara Duterte.
Both pairings are hypothetical. Robredo said on November 9 that she would not run for any national post in 2028. Sebastian Duterte has never declared a presidential candidacy; his name is being floated as a contingency should his sister Sara be convicted in her ongoing impeachment trial and be unable to run. OCTA conceded the results cannot yet show whether support for either tandem is rising or falling.
(Source: OCTA Research)
Source: OCTA Research
Published by GSM · USA (original Chinese edition)
Photo: 图：达沃市长 Sebastian Duterte 在菲律宾参议院宣誓（资料图）。公共领域，经 Wikimedia Commons。 / Photo: Davao City Mayor Sebastian Duterte taking his oath at the Philippine Senate (file photo). Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons.
